American
W-L: (16-17) PR = 94.4790Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Wake Forest ACC (18-17, 97.0) 74-88 1109 A Pennsylvania IVY (18-12, 95.8) 84-78 1112 H George Wash A10 (19-16, 96.0) 67-** 1115 A CENPE **-50 1118 H Rutgers B10 (14-19, 96.5) 71-80 1124 A MRYWO **-53 1128 A Maine AE ( 8-24, 93.2) 74-61 1129 H Siena MAAC (23-12, 95.3) 55-59 1130 A Longwood BSO (16-16, 94.3) 92-66 1203 A Drexel CA (17-16, 95.1) 75-73 1206 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC ( 9-23, 93.0) 78-60 1218 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 83-** 1218 H VCU A10 (29- 8, 97.6) 83-** 1222 H Virginia ACC (30- 6, 98.6) 51-95 1231 A Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 84-69 103 A Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 64-62 107 H Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 62-64 110 H Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 73-84 112 A Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 65-51 118 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 78-67 121 A Colgate PAT (18-15, 94.7) 70-66 124 A Holy Cross PAT H (11-22, 93.6) 76-67 128 H Loyola-MD PAT L (12-20, 93.7) 68-77 131 H Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 65-67 204 H Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 59-60 207 H Navy PAT (26- 8, 95.4) 73-82 211 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 82-90 214 A Army PAT (11-21, 93.5) 75-63 218 A Bucknell PAT (10-23, 93.8) 75-57 222 A Lafayette PAT L (11-22, 93.8) 75-61 225 H Lehigh PAT L (19-17, 94.4) 73-78 228 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 65-68 305 H Boston Univ PAT (17-17, 94.3) 73-75
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Wake Forest 74-88 -14 -3 0.00
1109 A Pennsylvania 84-78 6 -1 + 3.33
1112 H George Wash 67-** -40 -2 -0.45
1118 H Rutgers 71-80 -9 -2 0.00
1128 A Maine 74-61 13 1 0.71
1129 H Siena 55-59 -4 -1 -1.19
1130 A Longwood 92-66 26 0 1.80
1203 A Drexel 75-73 2 -1 + 2.60
1206 A MD-Ea Shore 78-60 18 1 0.53
1218 H VCU 83-** -22 -3 0.00
1218 H VCU 83-** -22 -3 0.00
1222 H Virginia 51-95 -44 -4 0.00
1231 A Loyola-MD 84-69 15 1 1.23
103 A Boston Univ 64-62 2 0 1.82
107 H Colgate 62-64 -2 0 -1.79
110 H Holy Cross 73-84 -11 1 - -2.86
112 A Navy 65-51 14 -1 + 2.97
118 A Army 78-67 11 1 1.08
121 A Colgate 70-66 4 0 + 2.23
124 A Holy Cross 76-67 9 1 1.16
128 H Loyola-MD 68-77 -9 1 - -2.79
131 H Lafayette 65-67 -2 1 - -2.70
204 H Bucknell 59-60 -1 1 -1.72
207 H Navy 73-82 -9 -1 -1.05
211 H Lehigh 82-90 -8 0 - -2.11
214 A Army 75-63 12 1 1.08
218 A Bucknell 75-57 18 1 1.30
222 A Lafayette 75-61 14 1 1.32
225 H Lehigh 73-78 -5 0 - -2.11
228 H Boston Univ 65-68 -3 0 - -2.20
305 H Boston Univ 73-75 -2 0 - -2.20
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Holy Cross 73-84 -11 1 - -2.86 128 H Loyola-MD 68-77 -9 1 - -2.79 131 H Lafayette 65-67 -2 1 - -2.70 211 H Lehigh 82-90 -8 0 - -2.11 225 H Lehigh 73-78 -5 0 - -2.11 228 H Boston Univ 65-68 -3 0 - -2.20 305 H Boston Univ 73-75 -2 0 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 A Pennsylvania 84-78 6 -1 + 3.33 1203 A Drexel 75-73 2 -1 + 2.60 112 A Navy 65-51 14 -1 + 2.97 121 A Colgate 70-66 4 0 + 2.23 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 33.01
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Wake Forest (18-17, 97.0) 74-88 -2.85 4.63 -0.01 1.06 -1.52
3 A Pennsylvania (18-12, 95.8) 84-78 -4.10 3.37 0.01 1.06 7.21
3 H George Wash (19-16, 96.0) 67-** -3.86 3.61 -0.01 1.06 -2.06
3 H Rutgers (14-19, 96.5) 71-80 -3.41 4.07 -0.01 1.06 -1.82
3 A Maine ( 8-24, 93.2) 74-61 -6.72 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H Siena (23-12, 95.3) 55-59 -4.60 2.88 -0.01 1.06 -2.45
3 A Longwood (16-16, 94.3) 92-66 -5.63 1.85 0.01 1.06 3.95
3 A Drexel (17-16, 95.1) 75-73 -4.83 2.64 0.01 1.06 5.65
3 A MD-Ea Shore ( 9-23, 93.0) 78-60 -6.90 1.00 0.01 1.06 2.15
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 83-** -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.06 -1.24
3 H VCU (29- 8, 97.6) 83-** -2.32 5.16 -0.01 1.06 -1.24
3 H Virginia (30- 6, 98.6) 51-95 -1.26 6.21 -0.01 1.06 -0.68
3 A Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 84-69 -6.20 1.28 0.01 1.06 2.74
3 A Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 64-62 -5.61 1.87 0.01 1.06 4.00
3 H Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 62-64 -5.20 2.28 -0.01 1.06 -2.77
3 H Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 73-84 -6.28 1.20 -0.01 1.06 -3.35
3 A Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 65-51 -4.46 3.02 0.01 1.06 6.45
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 78-67 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.06 2.42
3 A Colgate (18-15, 94.7) 70-66 -5.20 2.28 0.01 1.06 4.87
3 A Holy Cross (11-22, 93.6) 76-67 -6.28 1.20 0.01 1.06 2.58
3 H Loyola-MD (12-20, 93.7) 68-77 -6.20 1.28 -0.01 1.06 -3.31
3 H Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 65-67 -6.11 1.36 -0.01 1.06 -3.26
3 H Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 59-60 -6.13 1.34 -0.01 1.06 -3.27
3 H Navy (26- 8, 95.4) 73-82 -4.46 3.02 -0.01 1.06 -2.38
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 82-90 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.06 -2.94
3 A Army (11-21, 93.5) 75-63 -6.35 1.12 0.01 1.06 2.42
3 A Bucknell (10-23, 93.8) 75-57 -6.13 1.34 0.01 1.06 2.88
3 A Lafayette (11-22, 93.8) 75-61 -6.11 1.36 0.01 1.06 2.92
3 H Lehigh (19-17, 94.4) 73-78 -5.52 1.96 -0.01 1.06 -2.94
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 65-68 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.06 -2.99
3 H Boston Univ (17-17, 94.3) 73-75 -5.61 1.87 -0.01 1.06 -2.99
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11.18
|
winning pts = 52.4003 losing points = -41.2224
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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